Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,918$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(594 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,797.9}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 54.7)}}\) (asimptote \(10,797.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $582$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(115 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{522.5}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 26.1)}}\) (asimptote \(522.5\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,080$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,945$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(50.8 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{79,695.2}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 130.1)}}\) (asimptote \(79,695.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $63$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(7.64 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{251.7}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 90.1)}}\) (asimptote \(251.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,570$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,270$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(146 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,579.7}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,579.7\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(0.522 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.8\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,196$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(149 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.6}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(4.93 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.082 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $960$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(14.5 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,614.5}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 74.1)}}\) (asimptote \(2,614.5\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(0.862 \times 10^{0.035t}\) (doubling rate \(8.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16.6}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 28.2)}}\) (asimptote \(16.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $784$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $15,786$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(483 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,312.0}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 73.5)}}\) (asimptote \(34,312.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $707$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(71.9 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{813.1}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 41.5)}}\) (asimptote \(813.1\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $10,705$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $20,125$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(418 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $397$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(19.5 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,341.7}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 75.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,341.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,624$ on 2020-05-22
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,400$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(291 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,262.5}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 67.9)}}\) (asimptote \(9,262.5\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $159$ on 2020-05-22
Best fit exponential: \(11.8 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(14.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{194.9}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 39.9)}}\) (asimptote \(194.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,419$ on 2020-05-22